Earthquake prediction cycles, world forecasts; statistical analysis; map of geographical risks for big earthquakes

End-times theorists may find their views supported by a new science which argues the M 9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan earthquake, of 11 March 2011, was:

1. one of a series; and that
2. these series come in sets about every 40 years; and
3. this set does not end, until 2020.

How to reduce your risk: If this pattern follows - it's a good reason for not living, vacationing or investing in areas of the world prone to earthquakes, for the next six years. (see map of where not to live, above)
Who says so: The case came from various scientists, for example, Paul C. Thenhaus, Dr. Kenneth W. Campbell and Dr. Mahmoud M. Khater. They forecast more very big earthquakes, soon, like the Napier earth quake of 1931, - when the city rose 2 meters - but did not go into why this was so.
New science: A direct correlation has been discovered between solar activity (11-year cycles) and the numbers of large earthquakes, of fatalities during large earthquakes, and of tsunami. (E. N. Khalilov, 2010),
Earthquakes numbers directly correlates to the moment of sudden increase in the solar wind velocity. ((S. D. Odintsov, G. S. Ivanov-Kholodnyiand K. Georgieva, 2007)
Newton's ideas on gravity out the window: Other scientists this year spoke more freely of a cycle created by the planets and the sun - a more of a Tesla electromagnetic magnetic solution than Newtonian gravity.
Such new ideas turn standard science upside down, as they have the whiff of astrology and ancient Egyptian and Babylonian earthquake, flood myth.

Paul C. Thenhaus, Dr. Kenneth W. Campbell and Dr. Mahmoud M. Khater defined seismic moment as value of:

1. fault rupture slip;
2. area of the rupture plane; and
3. strength of the rock

Earthquake math: With worldwide earthquake lists accounted as seismic moments and summed cumulatively since 1900, the pattern appears.

Earthquakes in Japan and New Zealand in the first quarter of 2011, created the biggest-ever earthquake-insurance claims ;
16,000 die in Japan: The Tohoku earthquake was the largest recorded in 130 years. Losses were USD30 billion; and 16,000 died.
New Zealand 140 deaths: Recent estimates suggest insured losses over USD14 billion.

Since 2004, big earthquakes included:

• M 7.9 2008 Eastern Sichuan (Wenchuan) China earthquake;
• M 6.3 2009 LAquila, Italy earthquake;
• the M 7.0 2010 Port-au-Prince, Haiti earthquake;
• M 8.8 2010 Maule, Chile earthquake; and
• the paired M 7.1 2010 Darfield and the M 6.1 2011 Lyttelton (Christchurch), New Zealand earthquakes.

The map above shows the earthquake free zones - Australia, South India, and most of Africa, Egypt, and the east coast of the Americas. If you can stand the cold - the Arctic and Antartica
More big earthquakes ahead: A finding - of a four-decade zone of relative peace sandwiched with a burst of big quakes - was serious enough to name in a scientific paper; Spatial And Temporal Earthquake Clustering: Part 1 Global Earthquake Clustering, Paul C. Thenhaus, Dr. Kenneth W. Campbell and Dr. Mahmoud M. Khater October 14, 2011.
Science warning:
The three scientists reported the series of earthquakes since 2004 - it started with Sumatra - was not over. Bigger earthquakes were expected - in the next 6 years.
The latest: That was the M 9.0 Tohoku-oki, Japan earthquake, March 2011 and the tsunami that ruined the northeastern coast of Honshu.
Not chance - and slippery rocks - but some other force: "The statistics....cannot be attributed to chance", the three said of the sequence expected.
What's ahead:They argued the 26 December 2004 Andaman-Nicobar (Sumatra) earthquake began a new cycle of global great earthquake activity.
Half way through the cycle: The last set of big earthquakes was 1950 - 1965 and so "we may be only about half way through the cycle, and the largest earthquake in the current cluster may not have yet occurred", they proposed. To see earthquakes as they happen, click here.

E.N.Khalilov, 2010, according to USGS data reports this rising intensity of earthquakes.

1. Sinusoidal trend with projected seismic activity segment is marked in red;
2. number of earthquakes graph smoothed with 11-month running averages is marked in black;
3. straight-line trend is marked in green; figures 1-17 denote 2-3 yearseismic activity cycles.

Numbers of earthquakes with M> 6.5: Drawing the sine curve further along the straight-line trend from May 2010 to 2016 allows us to forecast the general dynamics of changes in monthly numbers of earthquakes.